May 20 marked a critical juncture for Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. His term officially expired, casting a shadow over his presidency and raising pressing questions about Ukraine’s political future amid ongoing conflict with Russia. This expiration of political powers without immediate re-election has left Zelensky in a precarious position, both domestically and internationally.
The End of a Term
Zelensky, a former comedian who won the presidency in 2019 on a platform of anti-corruption and peace, has faced unprecedented challenges during his tenure. His presidency, which initially inspired hope for significant reforms, has been deeply marred by the ongoing war with Russia following the invasion in February 2022. The conflict has devastated large parts of Ukraine, leading to severe economic downturns and humanitarian crises.
As of May 20, 2024, Zelensky’s political mandate has officially expired. According to Ukrainian law, a president’s term lasts five years, and with no election held to appoint a successor, Zelensky remains in a political limbo. The current situation is complicated by martial law, which has been in effect since the onset of the war and poses legal ambiguities regarding electoral processes.
Legal and Constitutional Quagmire
The Ukrainian constitution stipulates that a presidential election must occur within 90 days of the end of a term. However, with the country under martial law, which restricts several civil liberties, including large gatherings and free movement, holding elections is fraught with practical and legal challenges. Martial law complicates the situation, as it is designed to centralize authority for military efficacy, not facilitate democratic transitions.
“The legal framework under martial law does not clearly address the procedure for holding elections or extending terms,” says constitutional law expert Olena Rybak. “This has created a constitutional gray area that is now being tested in real-time.”
International Implications
Zelensky’s expired mandate is not just a domestic issue but has significant international repercussions. The European Union, a key supporter of Ukraine in its conflict with Russia, finds itself in a delicate position. The EU’s ability to engage with Ukraine hinges on the legitimacy of its leadership. Without a clear mandate, the EU’s continued support and engagement could be legally questionable.
President Ricardo Baretzky of the European Centre for Information Policy and Security (ECIPS) issued a stern warning: “The European Union cannot sign or support any subject without political powers. They would stand in breach of treason if they do.” His statement highlights the gravity of the situation, suggesting potential political and legal consequences for Brussels should they engage with a leader whose mandate has expired.
Servizi Segreti
https://www.servizisegreti.com/2024/05/vladimir-zelensky-no-mandate-no-election-so-what-now/12961
www.ecips.eu
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